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Lizahana -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 7:57:52 PM)
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ORIGINAL: Lizahana IMHO, it is interesting - because Dr. Robinson has no connection to the National Academy of Sciences; quote:
So? Do you know what the NAS is? It has peer-review, and was started by President Abe Lincoln: "The National Academy of Sciences (NAS) is an honorific society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. The NAS was signed into being by President Abraham Lincoln on March 3, 1863, at the height of the Civil War. As mandated in its Act of Incorporation, the NAS has, since 1863, served to "investigate, examine, experiment, and report upon any subject of science or art" whenever called upon to do so by any department of the government. Scientific issues would become even more contentious and complex in the years following the war. To keep pace with the growing roles that science and technology would play in public life, the institution that was founded in 1863 eventually expanded to include the National Research Council in 1916, the National Academy of Engineering in 1964, and the Institute of Medicine in 1970. Collectively, the four organizations are known as the National Academies...." http://www.nasonline.org/site/PageServer?pagename=ABOUT_main_page The NAS dismissed this petition, called Oregon petition: "The petition does not reflect the conclusions of expert reports of the Academy. In particular, the Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering (NAE), and the Institute of Medicine (IOM) conducted a major consensus study on this issue, entitled Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming (1991,1992). This analysis concluded that " ...even given the considerable uncertainties in our knowledge of the relevant phenomena, greenhouse warming poses a potential threat sufficient to merit prompt responses. ... Investment in mitigation measures acts as insurance protection against the great uncertainties and the possibility of dramatic surprises." In addition, the Committee on Global Change Research of the National Research Council, the operating arm of the NAS and the NAE, will issue a major report later this spring on the research issues that can help to reduce the scientific uncertainties associated with global change phenomena, including climate change..." http://www8.nationalacademies.org/onpinews/newsitem.aspx?RecordID=s04201998 And in fact, this is the NAS position on global warming: "Most scientists agree that the warming in recent decades has been caused primarily by human activities that have increased the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere (see Figure 1). Greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide, have increased significantly since the Industrial Revolution, mostly from the burning of fossil fuels for energy, industrial processes, and transportation. Carbon dioxide levels are at their highest in at least 650,000 years and continue to rise." http://dels.nas.edu/dels/rpt_briefs/climate_change_2008_final.pdf And there is wide criticism of the Oregon petitions signatures: "In May 1998 the Seattle Times wrote: “ Several environmental groups questioned dozens of the names: "Perry S. Mason" (the fictitious lawyer?), "Michael J. Fox" (the actor?), "Robert C. Byrd" (the senator?), "John C. Grisham" (the lawyer-author?). And then there's the Spice Girl, a k a. Geraldine Halliwell: The petition listed "Dr. Geri Halliwell" and "Dr. Halliwell." Asked about the pop singer, Robinson said he was duped. The returned petition, one of thousands of mailings he sent out, identified her as having a degree in microbiology and living in Boston. "It's fake," he said.[15] ” In 2005, Scientific American reported: “ Scientific American took a sample of 30 of the 1,400 signatories claiming to hold a Ph.D. in a climate-related science. Of the 26 we were able to identify in various databases, 11 said they still agreed with the petition —- one was an active climate researcher, two others had relevant expertise, and eight signed based on an informal evaluation. Six said they would not sign the petition today, three did not remember any such petition, one had died, and five did not answer repeated messages. Crudely extrapolating, the petition supporters include a core of about 200 climate researchers – a respectable number, though rather a small fraction of the climatological community.[16] ” In a 2005 op-ed in the Hawaii Reporter, Todd Shelly wrote: “ In less than 10 minutes of casual scanning, I found duplicate names (Did two Joe R. Eaglemans and two David Tompkins sign the petition, or were some individuals counted twice?), single names without even an initial (Biolchini), corporate names (Graybeal & Sayre, Inc. How does a business sign a petition?), and an apparently phony single name (Redwine, Ph.D.). These examples underscore a major weakness of the list: there is no way to check the authenticity of the names. Names are given, but no identifying information (e.g., institutional affiliation) is provided. Why the lack of transparency?[17] ..." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oregon_Petition quote:
the petition has not been accepted by any credible scientific publication quote:
What constitutes a "credible" scientific publication is often subject to opinion. Well, the NAS accepts "fringe" research, and if it does not accept the Oregon petition, seems pretty suspect to me. quote:
and the list of scientists are not soley climatologists...JMHO. So? quote:
I clearly do not understand the relunctance to recycle (something my grandparents did without complaint), and to reduce pollutants that show links to increased asthma, cancer and reproductive problems...but no one on the other end seems to want to address this. On top of this, God commands us to be good stewards of HIS creation...but, of course, people will ignore this as well...interesting to me, very interesting and, quite frankly disappointing... Peace and God bless, quote:
I do not think that conservatives deny that people should take care of the environment and I think we should too (ie: I think we should recycle and reduce pollutants). I do not see how someone disagreeing with the notion that man made global warming is a reality means they are reluctant to recycle and reduce pollutants. I am not saying global warming is real or not (I do not know), I just don't think that simply disagreeing with global warming means they are reluctant to take care of the environment. My point is that the people that say global warming is human-caused want to curb pollutants, want us to recycle - things we are called to do by God when he commanded that we take care of His creation - so what's the problem? Peace and God bless,
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