RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (Full Version)

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iluvatar -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/15/2008 7:40:38 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: mapachito13

quote:

ORIGINAL: lightshineon

LOL, I agree. I have a question anyone on this post a scientist or expert, or just personal opinion? Anybody really have any experience? You all sound good though.[:D]


Not meaning to toot my own horn but I own and operate a testing laboratory and have hands on experience in the quality control and testing aspects. I design test procedures and have to calculate their precision and uncertainty (possible error values) for my clients.

I am skeptical of global warming because of the lack of being able to verify the test methods used in testing the CO2 in the ice cores and the lack of these web sites publishing the possible error in measurement values. Any reputeable lab would have to calculate this error and in their published studies have to publish it as part of the methodology (the way the samples were tested). But my search on the internet I have not been able to see nor verify the claims of the global warming alarmists!

Why is this important. I'll repeat my example. Your doctor takes your child's temperature with a thermometer whose error is rated at plus or minus six degrees F and gets a reading of 102F. Does your child truly have a fever?

As a scientist I can't just accept as fact some claim just because some scientist on some web site has told me too! I can't put my critical thinking skills in park! In my experience, a PhD isn't a guarantee that the person is objective or even knows what they're doing!


I would expect the actual scholarly research papers to contain these sorts of numbers, but not the dumbed-down media reports. I don't know if I'd expect these in government reports either. If you really want these figures, you'll probably either have to visit the library or subscribe to particular journals.

-Dan.




1dblthnk02 -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/15/2008 9:16:50 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: freakofnature
We are at the top of the food chain for a reason? NO?

And this proves that we are not in control?

quote:

Reforestation efforts are always underway.

It can't keep up with deforestation efforts.

quote:

As far as the extinct animals? Sorry?

I'm not looking for an apology. You are the one contesting that we have no impact on the world.

quote:

Survival of the fittest, and apparently Humans are the fittest.

That's not what "survival of the fittest" means, but that is a Darwinian terminology not directly germane to this topic.

quote:

I am not advocating not being responsible and taking care of God's creation, but at the same time, the resources that are at our disposal

Saying that natural resources are "at our disposal" is advocating irresponsibility to conserve.

quote:

So what country do we eliminate first? I'm all for nuking Iran first, then we can go after China and when we conquer China, we can just march into Russia.

Pushing the button is another example of the kind of major impact that mankind can have over the planet. Or do you still deny that we have impact on the planet?




1dblthnk02 -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/15/2008 9:18:05 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: mapachito13
In my experience, a PhD isn't a guarantee that the person is objective or even knows what they're doing!

Neither does an engineering degree.




Lizahana -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/16/2008 7:24:00 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: freakofnature

quote:

freakofnature, if you go to the pdf, there is a link to: www.scienceandpolicy.org


So then, by this, there were no errors in the IPCC report? Still doesn't wash with me. And it is "big" to
bacco, not "Big" oil? What's the connection???


It's a project for the Frontiers of Freedom - again, founded in 1996 by ex-Republican Senator Malcolm Wallop of Wyoming and which receives big bucks from big tobacoo. It's a conservative right-wing think tank. Again, why do you post from obviously biased sources? It would be like if I were to post from moveon.org or commondreams. Understand? I very well could post from moveon.org, commondreams, but I know they are biased, just like Frontiers of Freedom.

Peace and God bless,




Lizahana -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/16/2008 7:26:06 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: davemiller7

OK, folks, here's a solution that should gladden the hearts of the GW crowd here.

1. All of us who work for any corporation must quit their jobs.
2. All corporations should be liquidated (old Soviet term). [;)]
3. We should immediately bulldoze our homes and find a cave or some other "natural" abode.
4. The only means of transportation will be walking. Mechanical contrivances using fossil fuels of course is out. 5. Riding animals (horses, etc. is cruelty to animals)
6. All of our possessions and money will be immediately turned over to the state. After all, they know better than we, how to spend our money and manage our lives.
7. All nations will be dissolved into a world government.
8. We shall all gather together and sing "Kumbaya". (sp?)

What a lovely world that will be. I can only hope and pray the Good Lord will come and take me before it happens.

-Dave


I don't think anyone is advocating the aforementioned, but if you want to do these things, by all means, go ahead !)

Peace and God bless,




freakofnature -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/16/2008 9:27:34 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: 1dblthnk02

quote:

ORIGINAL: freakofnature
We are at the top of the food chain for a reason? NO?

And this proves that we are not in control?

quote:

Reforestation efforts are always underway.

It can't keep up with deforestation efforts.

quote:

As far as the extinct animals? Sorry?

I'm not looking for an apology. You are the one contesting that we have no impact on the world.

quote:

Survival of the fittest, and apparently Humans are the fittest.

That's not what "survival of the fittest" means, but that is a Darwinian terminology not directly germane to this topic.

quote:

I am not advocating not being responsible and taking care of God's creation, but at the same time, the resources that are at our disposal

Saying that natural resources are "at our disposal" is advocating irresponsibility to conserve.

quote:

So what country do we eliminate first? I'm all for nuking Iran first, then we can go after China and when we conquer China, we can just march into Russia.

Pushing the button is another example of the kind of major impact that mankind can have over the planet. Or do you still deny that we have impact on the planet?


Well, at least if we nuke half the population, now, it should eventually even itself out!!! Wouldn't you rather we eliminate half the population quickly? AND! I have never said we don't have an impact, I am confronting the doomsday theorist that say we are all gonna die if we don't conform to the church of global warming. Of course we have an impact, but the resources have to be used to maintain an earth population of more than a trillion people. The GW church members act as if humans are like a virus on a host body. God has set it up and gave us domain over all the earth. Otherwise the only way to confront this "issue" is we kill half the population and the living must live in the forest, in caves and in tents.??? But even if they do, the remaining living will have to... understand this will have to use the existing resources provided to live, still having an impact. Humans will continue to reproduce... and before long, we will be right back to where we are now. So to be honest, we just need to wipe out the human population all together. If, btw, global warming is as bad as it is and compares to the warming of the earth in the medieval times, why were there NO major impacts on human population at that time? No major ice melts covering over vast amount of land? And, if the earth had a major Ice Age, then, all of that ice melted, how come the earth isn't completely covered in water? Would you not agree that there were much larger areas of ice during the ice age? What happened to all of that melted ice? Where did it go? If then the ice caps melt, which I seriously doubt they will completely disappear, so even if half of the ice caps "melt" is that not less ice than appeared during the ice age? I think all the ice age left us was the "great lakes" between America and Canada and some nice smaller lakes and mountain ranges.

So going back to living in tents. I know here in the area I live, the police department considers that "homelessness" they recommend, strongly urging those staying in tents, to find a homeless shelter BTW.

We have ways of harnessing the powers of the earth, building dams, moving earth, extracting oil. But we don't have the ability to recreate uncertain weather patterns well enough to legitimately study the effects of co2 in the atmosphere. Therefore there is no real ability to know what the effects are going to be long term.

Well, once again, this topic has gotten well beyond what I cared to discuss. I apologize for entering back into the conversation when I said I wouldn't. And, please, if I have offended or upset anyone, please forgive me. It is not my intent to be offensive, but only to discuss the realities of the effects of the so called global warming. I happen to disagree with:

a) it is a man-made issue,
b) that even natural warming of the earth is as drastic as those preachning say it is.




davemiller7 -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/16/2008 2:26:32 PM)

Not me, thanx! In a tongue-in-cheek way, I'm just giving the GW crowd some great ideas for when they come into power and take over the world. They're already making inroads: We are constantly bombarded with "big oil" is evil, "big tobacco" is evil, Wal-Mart is evil, etc. Every few years the CAFE standards get tightened. Building new power plants and refineries is at a standstill. Some group (I can't remember which one), recently declare horse racing cruel to animals, following the death of the horse in the Kentucky Derby. The IRS and state governments take more and more of our money each year. Groups are working to consolidate policies and activities of the US, Canada, and Mexico. The European Union.

Global warming has evolved into a political issue, driven (I believe) by a Marxist agenda. I want no part of it!

-Dave

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lizahana

quote:

ORIGINAL: davemiller7

OK, folks, here's a solution that should gladden the hearts of the GW crowd here.

1. All of us who work for any corporation must quit their jobs.
2. All corporations should be liquidated (old Soviet term). [;)]
3. We should immediately bulldoze our homes and find a cave or some other "natural" abode.
4. The only means of transportation will be walking. Mechanical contrivances using fossil fuels of course is out. 5. Riding animals (horses, etc. is cruelty to animals)
6. All of our possessions and money will be immediately turned over to the state. After all, they know better than we, how to spend our money and manage our lives.
7. All nations will be dissolved into a world government.
8. We shall all gather together and sing "Kumbaya". (sp?)

What a lovely world that will be. I can only hope and pray the Good Lord will come and take me before it happens.

-Dave


I don't think anyone is advocating the aforementioned, but if you want to do these things, by all means, go ahead !)

Peace and God bless,




radiorobert -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/16/2008 3:55:26 PM)

Well...I hope everyone is happy here who is in support of less drilling, less driving, less quality of life and less money in peoples pockets b/c you are getting for sure! [:@]

It is crazy to believe for a second that some magical new technology will come around in a year or so that will be affordable, easy to make and readily available that will simultaneously be magically 'safe' for the earth.

It seems our elected officials in congress right now care more about this false new religious/scientific way of thinking, known as "earth worship" rather than how everyday Americans in middle America are going to get by.

Sure we COULD get our own oil from right under our nose, but unfortunately, you environmentalists have seen fit to deprive us of that and squeeze us to death b/c of this so-called 'global warming theory'.




1dblthnk02 -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/17/2008 10:15:21 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: freakofnature
I am confronting the doomsday theorist that say we are all gonna die if we don't conform to the church of global warming.

All hyperbole aside, I am neither a "doomsday theorist," nor do I subscribe to any church. I am rational; are you familiar with this concept?

quote:

Of course we have an impact, but the resources have to be used to maintain an earth population of more than a trillion people.

Where did you get "more than a trillion?" There are 6.7+ billion people in the world today. At the rate we keep multiplying, I suppose that we could reach a trillion some day, but that day is still a long way off.

quote:

The GW church members act as if humans are like a virus on a host body.

There is no such a thing as "The GW Church."

quote:

God has set it up and gave us domain over all the earth.

And this is the fundamentalist justification for plundering the only inhabitable planet we have.

quote:

Otherwise the only way to confront this "issue" is we kill half the population and the living must live in the forest, in caves and in tents.???

Who says? Seriously, where did you get this?

quote:

If, btw, global warming is as bad as it is and compares to the warming of the earth in the medieval times, why were there NO major impacts on human population at that time?

Because their warming period did not compare with ours today. Btw, global warming is measured by geologic and meteoroligic impact, not self-inflicted human inconvenience or hardship.

quote:

No major ice melts covering over vast amount of land?

Melting glaciers, melting of snows in areas-- such as the Alps-- where year-round snowpack used to be the norm, but is no longer, expansion of deserts, and volatile weather patterns all indicate the inevitible.

quote:

Would you not agree that there were much larger areas of ice during the ice age? What happened to all of that melted ice? Where did it go?

. . . To the oceans. Btw, the rushing waters caused a great deal of calamity at the time.

quote:

If then the ice caps melt, which I seriously doubt they will completely disappear, so even if half of the ice caps "melt" is that not less ice than appeared during the ice age?

What does it matter. This isn't about ice, rather it is about worldwide alterations in weather patterns and natural biomes.

quote:

I think all the ice age left us was the "great lakes" between America and Canada and some nice smaller lakes and mountain ranges.

So? We are not debating the last ice age.

quote:

So going back to living in tents.

Go "back" to living in tents? When did we ever live in tents?

quote:

But we don't have the ability to recreate uncertain weather patterns well enough to legitimately study the effects of co2 in the atmosphere.

Wrong. You are very, very mistaken here.

quote:

Therefore there is no real ability to know what the effects are going to be long term.

But we can see what is happening right here and now, if we don't stop up our ears and cover our eyes while bellaring "Don't Worry, Be Happy" to the tops of our lungs.

quote:

It is not my intent to be offensive, but only to discuss the realities of the effects of the so called global warming.

You use nothing but inflammatory hyperbole to make useless points, and now you are apologizing by saying that you are just having a discussion?

Apology not accepted.




mapachito13 -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/17/2008 4:29:15 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: iluvatar

quote:

ORIGINAL: mapachito13

quote:

ORIGINAL: lightshineon

LOL, I agree. I have a question anyone on this post a scientist or expert, or just personal opinion? Anybody really have any experience? You all sound good though.[:D]


Not meaning to toot my own horn but I own and operate a testing laboratory and have hands on experience in the quality control and testing aspects. I design test procedures and have to calculate their precision and uncertainty (possible error values) for my clients.

I am skeptical of global warming because of the lack of being able to verify the test methods used in testing the CO2 in the ice cores and the lack of these web sites publishing the possible error in measurement values. Any reputeable lab would have to calculate this error and in their published studies have to publish it as part of the methodology (the way the samples were tested). But my search on the internet I have not been able to see nor verify the claims of the global warming alarmists!

Why is this important. I'll repeat my example. Your doctor takes your child's temperature with a thermometer whose error is rated at plus or minus six degrees F and gets a reading of 102F. Does your child truly have a fever?

As a scientist I can't just accept as fact some claim just because some scientist on some web site has told me too! I can't put my critical thinking skills in park! In my experience, a PhD isn't a guarantee that the person is objective or even knows what they're doing!


I would expect the actual scholarly research papers to contain these sorts of numbers, but not the dumbed-down media reports. I don't know if I'd expect these in government reports either. If you really want these figures, you'll probably either have to visit the library or subscribe to particular journals.

-Dan.


What I don't understand is that even the silly polls on TV give their statistical error. You'd think for something this scientific they would have them all over the web sites of these "expert scientists". It could only bolster their cause amongst those in the scientific community. Unless they are afraid it might have the opposite effect![8|]




Bettawrekonize -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/17/2008 5:29:17 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: 1dblthnk02
. . . Only if he claims to be an accredited expert. Then you examine his claim, not his character.


I don't think it's wrong to point out that someone doesn't have credentials in general.

quote:


I am not Al Gore. I do not speak for him, and he does not speak for me. Therefore, if someone disagrees with Al Gore, they are disagreeing with him, not me. But their argument against Al Gore will receive my criticism if the argument is nothing but ad hominem.


But what you implied was that just because they disagree with him, they are not dealing with the scientific issues.

quote:


It's called hypocrisy. If I criticize you for being the same way that I am, then I am actually criticizing myself, am I not?


It's merely stating the facts. There is also nothing wrong with Al Gore's supporters pointing out what Al Gore critics don't have credentials. This is something that the public should know and stating such facts is not unethical from either side of the debate.

quote:


So, I can be fair about this topic because I have been on both sides of the fence.


Implying that just because someone disagrees with you they are not dealing with the issue is not fair.

quote:


quote:


No, that's not what I said. I said it's unfair for you to suggest that just because someone disagrees with you, they are not dealing with the scientific merits of the subject.

But I have not done this, so you can let it go now.


You said, " Conservative websites disagree with Al Gore; therefore, they need not deal with the scientific merits of global warming. Instead they seek only to discredit Al Gore." You also said, " . . . On conservative sites whose agenda was not to examine the evidence fairly, but to dogmatically counter global warming with, "See? There is no such thing."" It is what you did. Your quotes suggest that just because they disagree with you, they are not dealing with the issues scientifically.

You also said, "No, I'm sorry but a conservative agenda wants people to accept only one side: the conservative meme." In other words, you are saying that conservatives aren't interested in the scientific issues, but they are only interested in getting people to accept, "the conservative meme." Once again, you are being unfair to the conservative side.




Bettawrekonize -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/17/2008 5:34:25 PM)

quote:


ADVISORY: Dr. Arthur Robinson (OISM) to Release Names of over 30,000 Scientists Rejecting Global Warming Hypothesis
...
It is evident that 31,072 Americans with university degrees in science - including 9,021 PhDs, are not “a few.”


Beneficial Natural Warming-31,000 Scientists

Just thought this would be interesting.




1dblthnk02 -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/17/2008 6:08:46 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bettawrekonize
I don't think it's wrong to point out that someone doesn't have credentials in general.

No, not in general. But if someone expects me to accept someone else's anti-global-warming article because they are an expert engineer, then I am going to point out that an engineering degree does not make a person an "expert" critic of global warming.
Likewise with Al Gore-- now did you catch that? Read it again, please: likewise with Al Gore. He is not a scientist and does not deserve a scientist's credibility. I have not, do not, and never will plead from Al Gore's authority.

Are we clear on this? . . .

quote:

But what you implied was that just because they disagree with him, they are not dealing with the scientific issues.

No, I said that if their critique of global warming is nothing but an ad hominem attack on Al Gore, then they are not dealing with the scientific evidence.

quote:

Implying that just because someone disagrees with you they are not dealing with the issue is not fair.

I never said this. I said that ad hominem arguments do not deal with the issue, and it is fair to say so.

quote:

Your quotes suggest that just because they disagree with you, they are not dealing with the issues scientifically.

Betta, if this is truly how you see it, and you're not just being obnoxious, then you are profoundly misunderstanding me. You need to read what I am actually saying, and not read into my comments that which you want me to be saying.




Lizahana -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/17/2008 11:42:24 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bettawrekonize

quote:


ADVISORY: Dr. Arthur Robinson (OISM) to Release Names of over 30,000 Scientists Rejecting Global Warming Hypothesis
...
It is evident that 31,072 Americans with university degrees in science - including 9,021 PhDs, are not “a few.”


Beneficial Natural Warming-31,000 Scientists

Just thought this would be interesting.


IMHO, it is interesting - because Dr. Robinson has no connection to the National Academy of Sciences; the petition has not been accepted by any credible scientific publication and the list of scientists are not soley climatologists...JMHO.

I clearly do not understand the relunctance to recycle (something my grandparents did without complaint), and to reduce pollutants that show links to increased asthma, cancer and reproductive problems...but no one on the other end seems to want to address this. On top of this, God commands us to be good stewards of HIS creation...but, of course, people will ignore this as well...interesting to me, very interesting and, quite frankly disappointing...

Peace and God bless,




Bettawrekonize -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 12:22:57 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lizahana
IMHO, it is interesting - because Dr. Robinson has no connection to the National Academy of Sciences;


So?

quote:


the petition has not been accepted by any credible scientific publication


What constitutes a "credible" scientific publication is often subject to opinion.

quote:


and the list of scientists are not soley climatologists...JMHO.


So?

quote:


I clearly do not understand the relunctance to recycle (something my grandparents did without complaint), and to reduce pollutants that show links to increased asthma, cancer and reproductive problems...but no one on the other end seems to want to address this. On top of this, God commands us to be good stewards of HIS creation...but, of course, people will ignore this as well...interesting to me, very interesting and, quite frankly disappointing...

Peace and God bless,


I do not think that conservatives deny that people should take care of the environment and I think we should too (ie: I think we should recycle and reduce pollutants). I do not see how someone disagreeing with the notion that man made global warming is a reality means they are reluctant to recycle and reduce pollutants. I am not saying global warming is real or not (I do not know), I just don't think that simply disagreeing with global warming means they are reluctant to take care of the environment.




Bettawrekonize -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 12:27:53 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: 1dblthnk02
No, not in general. But if someone expects me to accept someone else's anti-global-warming article because they are an expert engineer, then I am going to point out that an engineering degree does not make a person an "expert" critic of global warming.


There is nothing wrong with doing this.

quote:


No, I said that if their critique of global warming is nothing but an ad hominem attack on Al Gore, then they are not dealing with the scientific evidence.
...
I never said this. I said that ad hominem arguments do not deal with the issue, and it is fair to say so.


That is not what I quoted.

quote:


Betta, if this is truly how you see it, and you're not just being obnoxious, then you are profoundly misunderstanding me. You need to read what I am actually saying, and not read into my comments that which you want me to be saying.


I am not reading into your comments what I want you to say. I quoted you several times. You need to stop saying one thing when you mean another. Again, to quote you, what you said was, "Conservative websites disagree with Al Gore; therefore, they need not deal with the scientific merits of global warming. Instead they seek only to discredit Al Gore." If you did not mean what you said, just say that you did not mean what you said.




1dblthnk02 -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 9:52:31 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bettawrekonize
That is not what I quoted.

Yes it is. I quoted you verbatim. I used the same little "quote" tab that you use.

quote:

You need to stop saying one thing when you mean another.

First I will have to start.

quote:

Again, to quote you, what you said was, "Conservative websites disagree with Al Gore; therefore, they need not deal with the scientific merits of global warming. Instead they seek only to discredit Al Gore." If you did not mean what you said, just say that you did not mean what you said.

. . . "They seek only to discredit Al Gore."
You missed that word "only": it means "nothing else but." It means that they disagree with the man's character instead of the evidence.
I meant what I said and said what I meant.




1dblthnk02 -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 10:31:26 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bettawrekonize
quote:

ORIGINAL: Lizahana
IMHO, it is interesting - because Dr. Robinson has no connection to the National Academy of Sciences;

So?

So, when it comes to global warming, he is not endorsed by the scientific community at large.

quote:

What constitutes a "credible" scientific publication is often subject to opinion.

Everything is subject to opinion. What difference does that make?

quote:


quote:


and the list of scientists are not soley climatologists...JMHO.

So?

So, their opinion means very little if they are not experts in the fields of geology and climatology:
"When questioned in 1998, OISM's Arthur Robinson admitted that only 2,100 signers of the Oregon Petition had identified themselves as physicists, geophysicists, climatologists, or meteorologists, 'and of those the greatest number are physicists.' This grouping of fields concealed the fact that only a few dozen, at most, of the signatories were drawn from the core disciplines of climate science - such as meteorology, oceanography, and glaciology - and almost none were climate specialists."
source
Dr. Arthur Robinson has himself proved to be of questionable credibility on the subject.

Btw, the OISM is chiefly dedicated to this: "Research in the Institute's laboratories includes work in protein biochemistry, diagnostic medicine, nutrition, preventive medicine, and aging."
How does this qualify them as credible experts on global warming, and whatever became of their ten year old "petition?"




StephK -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 11:35:40 AM)

Well the target for the blame in this hysteria is being made known. [8|]

quote:

Obesity Promotes Global Warming?

By John Tierney

Tags: energy, exercise, fat, global warming

As someone who commutes by bicycle into Manhattan, I would normally applaud any scientific rationale for more bike lanes. But some calculations in the new issue of the Lancet make me uncomfortable. The authors argue that policies promoting cycling and walking are good for the planet because they could reduce obesity — and obesity, the authors calculate, contributes to global warming.

Do we really need to give fat people one more reason to feel guilty?

quote:


Fat people blamed for global warming
By Patrick Sawer
Last Updated: 8:52AM BST 17/05/2008

As if they didn’t already have enough problems on their hands fat people are now being blamed for global warming.

British scientists say they use up more fuel to transport them around and the amount of food they eat requires more energy to produce than that consumed by those on smaller diets.

According to a team at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine this adds to food shortages and higher energy prices.

Researchers Phil Edwards said: “We are all becoming heavier and it is a global responsibility. Obesity is a key part of the big picture."




Pat-rebel_lady -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 12:20:31 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: StephK

Well the target for the blame in this hysteria is being made known. [8|]

quote:

Obesity Promotes Global Warming?

By John Tierney

Tags: energy, exercise, fat, global warming

As someone who commutes by bicycle into Manhattan, I would normally applaud any scientific rationale for more bike lanes. But some calculations in the new issue of the Lancet make me uncomfortable. The authors argue that policies promoting cycling and walking are good for the planet because they could reduce obesity — and obesity, the authors calculate, contributes to global warming.

Do we really need to give fat people one more reason to feel guilty?

quote:


Fat people blamed for global warming
By Patrick Sawer
Last Updated: 8:52AM BST 17/05/2008

As if they didn’t already have enough problems on their hands fat people are now being blamed for global warming.

British scientists say they use up more fuel to transport them around and the amount of food they eat requires more energy to produce than that consumed by those on smaller diets.

According to a team at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine this adds to food shortages and higher energy prices.

Researchers Phil Edwards said: “We are all becoming heavier and it is a global responsibility. Obesity is a key part of the big picture."


NOW, I've heard everything!! [:D][:D][:D]; ROTFL

And to think people go to Colleges and Universities to learn this stuff. [sm=icon_smile_yikes.gif] [sm=icon_smile_faint.gif]; [:D][:D][:D] --- Oh... my aching sides... Thank God laughter is still the best Medicine known to man!! [:D]




StephK -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 2:46:50 PM)

Study says global warming not worsening hurricanes


By SETH BORENSTEIN, AP Science Writer 1 hour, 39 minutes ago

WASHINGTON - Global warming isn't to blame for the recent jump in hurricanes in the Atlantic, concludes a study by a prominent federal scientist whose position has shifted on the subject.


Not only that, warmer temperatures will actually reduce the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic and those making landfall, research meteorologist Tom Knutson reported in a study released Sunday.




mapachito13 -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 5:01:19 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: 1dblthnk02

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bettawrekonize
I don't think it's wrong to point out that someone doesn't have credentials in general.

No, not in general. But if someone expects me to accept someone else's anti-global-warming article because they are an expert engineer, then I am going to point out that an engineering degree does not make a person an "expert" critic of global warming.
Likewise with Al Gore-- now did you catch that? Read it again, please: likewise with Al Gore. He is not a scientist and does not deserve a scientist's credibility. I have not, do not, and never will plead from Al Gore's authority.

Are we clear on this? . . .

quote:

But what you implied was that just because they disagree with him, they are not dealing with the scientific issues.

No, I said that if their critique of global warming is nothing but an ad hominem attack on Al Gore, then they are not dealing with the scientific evidence.

quote:

Implying that just because someone disagrees with you they are not dealing with the issue is not fair.

I never said this. I said that ad hominem arguments do not deal with the issue, and it is fair to say so.

quote:

Your quotes suggest that just because they disagree with you, they are not dealing with the issues scientifically.

Betta, if this is truly how you see it, and you're not just being obnoxious, then you are profoundly misunderstanding me. You need to read what I am actually saying, and not read into my comments that which you want me to be saying.


DO YOU have a science degree or degree in climatology? Have YOU ever performed a chemical analysis? Used analytical equipment? I HAVE and that's why I have a lot of unanswered questions. We've seen a lot of people's conclusions on what the data means but no one has put forward the answers that would convince me AS A SCIENTIST that their conclusions are valid.

I'm not star-struck by a bunch of Hollywood celebrities and Al Gore with a bunch of scientists that don't know how to put forth scientific data in a web-site.




Lizahana -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/18/2008 7:57:52 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lizahana
IMHO, it is interesting - because Dr. Robinson has no connection to the National Academy of Sciences;


quote:

So?



Do you know what the NAS is? It has peer-review, and was started by President Abe Lincoln:

"The National Academy of Sciences (NAS) is an honorific society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare.

The NAS was signed into being by President Abraham Lincoln on March 3, 1863, at the height of the Civil War. As mandated in its Act of Incorporation, the NAS has, since 1863, served to "investigate, examine, experiment, and report upon any subject of science or art" whenever called upon to do so by any department of the government. Scientific issues would become even more contentious and complex in the years following the war. To keep pace with the growing roles that science and technology would play in public life, the institution that was founded in 1863 eventually expanded to include the National Research Council in 1916, the National Academy of Engineering in 1964, and the Institute of Medicine in 1970. Collectively, the four organizations are known as the National Academies...."

http://www.nasonline.org/site/PageServer?pagename=ABOUT_main_page

The NAS dismissed this petition, called Oregon petition:

"The petition does not reflect the conclusions of expert reports of the Academy.

In particular, the Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering (NAE), and the Institute of Medicine (IOM) conducted a major consensus study on this issue, entitled Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming (1991,1992). This analysis concluded that " ...even given the considerable uncertainties in our knowledge of the relevant phenomena, greenhouse warming poses a potential threat sufficient to merit prompt responses. ... Investment in mitigation measures acts as insurance protection against the great uncertainties and the possibility of dramatic surprises." In addition, the Committee on Global Change Research of the National Research Council, the operating arm of the NAS and the NAE, will issue a major report later this spring on the research issues that can help to reduce the scientific uncertainties associated with global change phenomena, including climate change..."

http://www8.nationalacademies.org/onpinews/newsitem.aspx?RecordID=s04201998

And in fact, this is the NAS position on global warming:

"Most scientists agree that the warming in recent decades has been caused primarily by human activities that
have increased the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere (see Figure 1). Greenhouse gases, such as
carbon dioxide, have increased significantly since the Industrial Revolution, mostly from the burning of fossil
fuels for energy, industrial processes, and transportation. Carbon dioxide levels are at their highest in at least
650,000 years and continue to rise."

http://dels.nas.edu/dels/rpt_briefs/climate_change_2008_final.pdf

And there is wide criticism of the Oregon petitions signatures:

"In May 1998 the Seattle Times wrote:

“ Several environmental groups questioned dozens of the names: "Perry S. Mason" (the fictitious lawyer?), "Michael J. Fox" (the actor?), "Robert C. Byrd" (the senator?), "John C. Grisham" (the lawyer-author?). And then there's the Spice Girl, a k a. Geraldine Halliwell: The petition listed "Dr. Geri Halliwell" and "Dr. Halliwell."
Asked about the pop singer, Robinson said he was duped. The returned petition, one of thousands of mailings he sent out, identified her as having a degree in microbiology and living in Boston. "It's fake," he said.[15]


In 2005, Scientific American reported:

“ Scientific American took a sample of 30 of the 1,400 signatories claiming to hold a Ph.D. in a climate-related science. Of the 26 we were able to identify in various databases, 11 said they still agreed with the petition —- one was an active climate researcher, two others had relevant expertise, and eight signed based on an informal evaluation. Six said they would not sign the petition today, three did not remember any such petition, one had died, and five did not answer repeated messages. Crudely extrapolating, the petition supporters include a core of about 200 climate researchers – a respectable number, though rather a small fraction of the climatological community.[16] ”

In a 2005 op-ed in the Hawaii Reporter, Todd Shelly wrote:

“ In less than 10 minutes of casual scanning, I found duplicate names (Did two Joe R. Eaglemans and two David Tompkins sign the petition, or were some individuals counted twice?), single names without even an initial (Biolchini), corporate names (Graybeal & Sayre, Inc. How does a business sign a petition?), and an apparently phony single name (Redwine, Ph.D.). These examples underscore a major weakness of the list: there is no way to check the authenticity of the names. Names are given, but no identifying information (e.g., institutional affiliation) is provided. Why the lack of transparency?[17] ..."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oregon_Petition

quote:


the petition has not been accepted by any credible scientific publication


quote:

What constitutes a "credible" scientific publication is often subject to opinion.


Well, the NAS accepts "fringe" research, and if it does not accept the Oregon petition, seems pretty suspect to me.

quote:


and the list of scientists are not soley climatologists...JMHO.


So?

quote:


I clearly do not understand the relunctance to recycle (something my grandparents did without complaint), and to reduce pollutants that show links to increased asthma, cancer and reproductive problems...but no one on the other end seems to want to address this. On top of this, God commands us to be good stewards of HIS creation...but, of course, people will ignore this as well...interesting to me, very interesting and, quite frankly disappointing...

Peace and God bless,


quote:

I do not think that conservatives deny that people should take care of the environment and I think we should too (ie: I think we should recycle and reduce pollutants). I do not see how someone disagreeing with the notion that man made global warming is a reality means they are reluctant to recycle and reduce pollutants. I am not saying global warming is real or not (I do not know), I just don't think that simply disagreeing with global warming means they are reluctant to take care of the environment.


My point is that the people that say global warming is human-caused want to curb pollutants, want us to recycle - things we are called to do by God when he commanded that we take care of His creation - so what's the problem?

Peace and God bless,




Bettawrekonize -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/19/2008 2:02:35 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lizahana
Do you know what the NAS is? It has peer-review, and was started by President Abe Lincoln:


I know what the NAS is. I do not care who started it.

quote:


The National Academy of Sciences (NAS) is an honorific society....


Honorific according to whom?

quote:


The NAS dismissed this petition, called Oregon petition:

"The petition does not reflect the conclusions of expert reports of the Academy.

In particular, the Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering (NAE), and the Institute of Medicine (IOM) conducted a major consensus study on this issue, entitled Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming (1991,1992). This analysis concluded that " ...even given the considerable uncertainties in our knowledge of the relevant phenomena, greenhouse warming poses a potential threat sufficient to merit prompt responses. ... Investment in mitigation measures acts as insurance protection against the great uncertainties and the possibility of dramatic surprises." In addition, the Committee on Global Change Research of the National Research Council, the operating arm of the NAS and the NAE, will issue a major report later this spring on the research issues that can help to reduce the scientific uncertainties associated with global change phenomena, including climate change..."


What makes the NAS the ultimate authority over what constitutes a valid petition? Why should I trust them more than the petitioners who singed this petition? Because they and their supporters proclaim that they are a more "credible" source and they proclaim that they are more "honorable"?

quote:


And in fact, this is the NAS position on global warming: ...


So? I am not taking a position, but just because the NAS takes a position does not make a position correct (and I am not saying their position is incorrect either. I don't know). I see no reason to believe the NAS is any more "credible" than some of the scientists that signed the petition (proclamation doesn't count).

quote:


And there is wide criticism of the Oregon petitions signatures: ...


I'm not saying that there aren't possible reasonable criticisms against the petition, I'm saying that just because the NAS rejects it does not necessarily mean it should be disregarded.

quote:


Well, the NAS accepts "fringe" research, and if it does not accept the Oregon petition, seems pretty suspect to me.


Just because the NAS accepts "fringe" research and not this petition does not necessarily mean that the petition should be disregarded. Just because the NAS does not accept some research does not make the research invalid. It could be (and I'm not saying this is the case) that the NAS has a bias toward what kind of research it accepts (ie: maybe they are more inclined to accept research that supports man made global warming and that's why they reject this petition. Again, I'm not saying this is the case, but it's a possibility). The NAS is composed of humans, not infallible entities who are perfect at discerning what is valid and what is not. Humans have bias and humans aren't perfect.

quote:


My point is that the people that say global warming is human-caused want to curb pollutants, want us to recycle - things we are called to do by God when he commanded that we take care of His creation - so what's the problem?


I'm just pointing out that, just because someone does not believe man made global warming is a reality does not mean that he does not want to "curb pollutants" or "recycle."

I do think that we should take care of the environment and I do not take a position on whether or not man made global warming is a reality. However, when I see people who take a more liberal position on the subject matter act as though they are more concerned about the environment than those who take a more conservative position, and when I see people like 1dblthnk02 making silly stereotypical statements like "Conservative websites disagree with Al Gore; therefore, they need not deal with the scientific merits of global warming. Instead they seek only to discredit Al Gore" and when I see them constantly being unfair to conservatives, I find it very hard to take the liberal position seriously. I know conservatives who also think that mainstream sources have no clue about whether or not man made global warming is a reality and they recycle, they teach their children to always recycle and save energy because it's good for the environment, etc... Conservatives do think they should take care of the environment just as well as liberals, so please don't act as if you are somehow more concerned about the environment than conservatives. When I see this kind of unfair attitude, it makes it more difficult for me to take the liberal position seriously. I want to be fair to the liberal position, but I also expect those who take a more liberal position to be fair to the conservative position as well. Otherwise, it will only make it more difficult for me to take the liberal position seriously.




Lizahana -> RE: Global warming- do you know the truth? (5/19/2008 7:35:35 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bettawrekonize

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lizahana
Do you know what the NAS is? It has peer-review, and was started by President Abe Lincoln:


I know what the NAS is. I do not care who started it.

quote:


The National Academy of Sciences (NAS) is an honorific society....


Honorific according to whom?

quote:


The NAS dismissed this petition, called Oregon petition:

"The petition does not reflect the conclusions of expert reports of the Academy.

In particular, the Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering (NAE), and the Institute of Medicine (IOM) conducted a major consensus study on this issue, entitled Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming (1991,1992). This analysis concluded that " ...even given the considerable uncertainties in our knowledge of the relevant phenomena, greenhouse warming poses a potential threat sufficient to merit prompt responses. ... Investment in mitigation measures acts as insurance protection against the great uncertainties and the possibility of dramatic surprises." In addition, the Committee on Global Change Research of the National Research Council, the operating arm of the NAS and the NAE, will issue a major report later this spring on the research issues that can help to reduce the scientific uncertainties associated with global change phenomena, including climate change..."


What makes the NAS the ultimate authority over what constitutes a valid petition? Why should I trust them more than the petitioners who singed this petition? Because they and their supporters proclaim that they are a more "credible" source and they proclaim that they are more "honorable"?

quote:


And in fact, this is the NAS position on global warming: ...


So? I am not taking a position, but just because the NAS takes a position does not make a position correct (and I am not saying their position is incorrect either. I don't know). I see no reason to believe the NAS is any more "credible" than some of the scientists that signed the petition (proclamation doesn't count).

quote:


And there is wide criticism of the Oregon petitions signatures: ...


I'm not saying that there aren't possible reasonable criticisms against the petition, I'm saying that just because the NAS rejects it does not necessarily mean it should be disregarded.

quote:


Well, the NAS accepts "fringe" research, and if it does not accept the Oregon petition, seems pretty suspect to me.


Just because the NAS accepts "fringe" research and not this petition does not necessarily mean that the petition should be disregarded. Just because the NAS does not accept some research does not make the research invalid. It could be (and I'm not saying this is the case) that the NAS has a bias toward what kind of research it accepts (ie: maybe they are more inclined to accept research that supports man made global warming and that's why they reject this petition. Again, I'm not saying this is the case, but it's a possibility). The NAS is composed of humans, not infallible entities who are perfect at discerning what is valid and what is not. Humans have bias and humans aren't perfect.

quote:


My point is that the people that say global warming is human-caused want to curb pollutants, want us to recycle - things we are called to do by God when he commanded that we take care of His creation - so what's the problem?


I'm just pointing out that, just because someone does not believe man made global warming is a reality does not mean that he does not want to "curb pollutants" or "recycle."

I do think that we should take care of the environment and I do not take a position on whether or not man made global warming is a reality. However, when I see people who take a more liberal position on the subject matter act as though they are more concerned about the environment than those who take a more conservative position, and when I see people like 1dblthnk02 making silly stereotypical statements like "Conservative websites disagree with Al Gore; therefore, they need not deal with the scientific merits of global warming. Instead they seek only to discredit Al Gore" and when I see them constantly being unfair to conservatives, I find it very hard to take the liberal position seriously. I know conservatives who also think that mainstream sources have no clue about whether or not man made global warming is a reality and they recycle, they teach their children to always recycle and save energy because it's good for the environment, etc... Conservatives do think they should take care of the environment just as well as liberals, so please don't act as if you are somehow more concerned about the environment than conservatives. When I see this kind of unfair attitude, it makes it more difficult for me to take the liberal position seriously. I want to be fair to the liberal position, but I also expect those who take a more liberal position to be fair to the conservative position as well. Otherwise, it will only make it more difficult for me to take the liberal position seriously.


Bettawrekonize,

Um, because our government depends on them:

"Approved, July 14, 1870

An Act to authorize the National Academy of Sciences to receive, and hold trust funds for the promotion of science, and for other purposes

Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the National Academy of Sciences, incorporated by the act of Congress approved March third, eighteen hundred and sixty-three, and its several supplements be, and the same is hereby, authorized and empowered to receive bequests and donations and hold the same in trust, to be applied by the said Academy in aid of scientific investigations and according to the will of the donors.

Approved, June 20,1884

An Act to amend the act authorizing the National Academy of Sciences to receive and hold trust funds for the promotion of science, and for other purposes."

And in 1997, there was another ACT put into law "to amend the Federal Advisory Committee Act to clarify public disclosure requirements that are applicable to the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Public Administration."

http://www.nasonline.org/site/PageServer?pagename=ABOUT_incorporation

The NAS is part of the Federal Advisory Committee and has to follow guidlines under the ACT of the same name:

http://www.gsa.gov/gsa/cm_attachments/GSA_BASIC/without_annotations_R2G-b4T_0Z5RDZ-i34K-pR.pdf

"The Academy's service to government has become so essential that Congress and the White House have issued legislation and executive orders over the years that reaffirm its unique role."

http://www.nasonline.org/site/PageServer?pagename=ABOUT_main_page

Now, if you don't think the NAS is important - good for you - our government certainly does. I disagree with you and have good reasons to do so.

And, your Oregon petition has been criticized by many for anything from double names, to scientists that do not want to be on the petition anymore, to bogus names, to scientists that are not even scientists - if I submitted sources like that at any University across the nation, I'd recieve an F. You may disagree - again, good for you and let's agree to disagree.

BTW, curbing pollutants, car emmissions, IMHO, will help prevent global warming - but you may not believe that - but as long as you agree that it needs to be done, I have no quarrel with that. And, I have some conservative friends that also take steps to take care of the environment. However, not many, but some; my other conservative friends make it blatantly clear that they do not recycle, try to curb using their big gas guzzlers.

Peace and God bless,




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